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NVIDIA CORP (NVDA)·Q2 2026 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • NVIDIA delivered Q2 FY2026 revenue of $46.7B (+6% q/q, +56% y/y) with GAAP gross margin 72.4% and non-GAAP EPS $1.05, beating S&P Global consensus on revenue, EPS, and gross margin; Blackwell Data Center revenue grew 17% q/q .
  • Data Center revenue rose to $41.1B (+5% q/q, +56% y/y), with compute down 1% sequentially on a $4.0B H20 reduction, offset by networking +46% q/q to $7.3B (+98% y/y) on NVLink fabric, InfiniBand XDR, and Ethernet-for-AI adoption .
  • Q3 FY2026 guidance implies a material sequential step-up: revenue $54.0B ±2%, non-GAAP GM 73.5% ±50bps, OpEx (non-GAAP) ~$4.2B, OI&E ~$500M, tax rate 16.5% ±1%; full-year OpEx growth outlook raised to high-30% from mid-30% .
  • Strategic ramp of Blackwell Ultra is “at full speed,” while Rubin (next-gen) remains on schedule for next year; sovereign AI and enterprise AI pipelines are expanding, with $60B added to repurchase authorization and $10.0B returned to shareholders in Q2 .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

What Went Well

  • Record-scale Blackwell ramp and demand: “Blackwell is the AI platform the world has been waiting for… demand is extraordinary” (Jensen Huang); Blackwell Data Center revenue grew 17% sequentially .
  • Networking strength: revenue $7.3B (+46% q/q, +98% y/y) from NVLink compute fabric (GB200/GB300 systems), InfiniBand XDR, and Spectrum‑X Ethernet for AI workloads .
  • Cash returns and balance sheet expansion: $10.0B returned (repurchases/dividends); cash, cash equivalents and marketable securities grew to $56.8B (+$3.1B q/q; +$22.0B y/y) .

What Went Wrong

  • China exposure/H20 disruption: no H20 sales to China in Q2; compute revenue -1% q/q due to $4.0B H20 reduction; H20 shipments excluded from Q3 outlook .
  • Gross margin y/y pressure: GAAP GM down ~270bps y/y as mix shifted toward full-scale data center systems versus Hopper HGX systems last year .
  • Working capital/taxes weighed on cash flow: operating cash flow fell to $15.4B q/q (from $27.4B) “mainly driven by $8.1B in taxes paid” and higher inventory/AR to support Blackwell Ultra ramp .

Financial Results

P&L vs prior periods

MetricQ2 FY2025Q1 FY2026Q2 FY2026
Revenue ($USD Billions)$30.040 $44.062 $46.743
Gross Margin (GAAP, %)75.1% 60.5% 72.4%
Diluted EPS (GAAP, $)$0.67 $0.76 $1.08
Diluted EPS (Non-GAAP, $)$0.68 $0.81 $1.05

Notes: Q2 included $180M release of previously reserved H20 inventory; excluding this, non-GAAP GM 72.3% and non-GAAP EPS $1.04 .

Actuals vs S&P Global Consensus

MetricQ2 FY2025Q1 FY2026Q2 FY2026
Revenue (Actual, $B)30.04044.06246.743
Revenue (Consensus, $B)*28.75243.25546.056
EPS Non-GAAP (Actual, $)0.680.811.05
EPS (Consensus, $)*0.6440.7501.009
Gross Margin GAAP (Actual, %)75.14660.52472.424
Gross Margin (Consensus, %)*75.67367.07172.178

Beats/misses: Q2 FY2026 revenue, EPS, and GM were above consensus; Q1 FY2026 gross margin missed given the H20 charge .
Values retrieved from S&P Global.*

Segment Breakdown (Reportable Segments)

Segment Revenue ($USD Millions)Q2 FY2025Q1 FY2026Q2 FY2026
Compute & Networking$26,446 $39,589 $41,331
Graphics$3,594 $4,473 $5,412
Total$30,040 $44,062 $46,743

Market Platforms

Platform Revenue ($USD Millions)Q2 FY2025Q1 FY2026Q2 FY2026
Data Center$26,272 $39,112 $41,096
Compute$22,604 $34,155 $33,844
Networking$3,668 $4,957 $7,252
Gaming$2,880 $3,763 $4,287
Professional Visualization$454 $509 $601
Automotive$346 $567 $586
OEM and Other$88 $111 $173
Total$30,040 $44,062 $46,743

KPIs and Balance Sheet/Cash Flow

KPIQ2 FY2025Q1 FY2026Q2 FY2026
Cash, Cash Equivalents & Marketable Securities ($B)$53.7 $56.8
Accounts Receivable ($B) / DSO (days)$22.1 / 46 $27.8 / 54
Inventory ($B)$11.3 $15.0
Total Purchase Commitments ($B)$29.8 (inventory/manufacturing) $45.8 (incl. multi-year cloud)
Operating Cash Flow ($B)$14.5 $27.4 $15.4
Free Cash Flow ($B)$13.48 $26.14 $13.45
Shareholder Returns ($B)$14.3 (Q1) $10.0 (Q2: $9.7 buybacks + $0.244 dividends)
Repurchase Authorization ($B)+$60.0 (added Aug 26, 2025)

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
RevenueQ3 FY2026n/a$54.0B ±2% New
GAAP Gross MarginQ3 FY2026n/a73.3% ±50bps New
Non-GAAP Gross MarginQ3 FY2026n/a73.5% ±50bps New
GAAP OpExQ3 FY2026n/a~$5.9B New
Non-GAAP OpExQ3 FY2026n/a~$4.2B New
OI&E (GAAP & Non-GAAP)Q3 FY2026~$450M (Q2 outlook) ~$500M Raised
Tax Rate (GAAP & Non-GAAP)Q3 FY202616.5% ±1% 16.5% ±1% Maintained
Full-year OpEx GrowthFY2026Mid-30% High-30% Raised
DividendsQ2/Q3 timing$0.01/share on Jul 3 (Q1) $0.01/share on Oct 2 (Q3) Maintained cadence
H20 in OutlookQ3 FY2026No H20 shipments assumed Explicit exclusion

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicQ4 FY2025 (Q-2)Q1 FY2026 (Q-1)Q2 FY2026 (Current)Trend
AI/Blackwell RampInitial Blackwell ramp, $11B Q4 sales; GM in low-70s during ramp Fastest ramp; GB200 NVLink 72 racks broadly deployed; GB300 sampling Blackwell Ultra “full speed”; Blackwell revenue +17% q/q Accelerating
Networking (NVLink/InfiniBand/Spectrum-X)Transition from NVLink8+IB to NVLink72+Spectrum-X Spectrum‑X annualizing >$8B; two major CSPs added Networking $7.3B (+46% q/q); Spectrum‑XGS announced to connect distributed AI factories Strong expansion
Supply Chain & ManufacturingComplex rack systems; ramp improving ~1,000 NVL72 racks/week at major hyperscalers Factory builds converted for GB300; full production underway Capacity scaling
China/GeopoliticsChina % of DC revenue ~half pre-controls $8B Q2 H20 lost revenue; TAM $50B; export control impacts No H20 to China in Q2; licenses emerging but excluded from Q3 guide; potential $2–$5B if issues resolve Uncertain; excluded from guide
Sovereign AINational AI projects highlighted (EU/UK/etc.) ~100 AI factories in flight, doubling y/y Work with European nations; DGX Cloud Lepton expansion Growing pipeline
Product RoadmapBlackwell initial; Blackwell Ultra 2H GB300 leveraging GB200 architecture; annual cadence through 2028 Rubin chips “in fab”; schedule for next year On track
Robotics/Physical AIDRIVE wins; Cosmos models Isaac GR00T; robotics partners Jetson Thor GA; robotics full-stack adoption; RealSense collaboration Adoption rising

Management Commentary

  • “Blackwell is the AI platform the world has been waiting for… demand is extraordinary.” — Jensen Huang (CEO) .
  • “GAAP and non-GAAP gross margins… include a $180M benefit from releasing previously reserved H20 inventory; excluding this benefit, non-GAAP gross margins would have been 72.3%.” — Colette Kress (CFO) .
  • “We have not included H20 in our Q3 outlook… if geopolitical issues resolve, we should ship $2–$5B in H20 revenue in Q3.” — Colette Kress .
  • On ASICs vs NVIDIA platform: “Our architecture is general, end-to-end, and everywhere… perf-per-watt directly translates to revenues in power-limited data centers.” — Jensen Huang .
  • On Spectrum‑XGS: “Link data centers across cities, nations and continents into vast, giga-scale AI super-factories.” — Jensen Huang .

Q&A Highlights

  • China/H20 outlook: Licenses have begun but shipments excluded from Q3; potential $2–$5B H20 revenue contingent on geopolitics; USG has discussed a 15% revenue expectation for licensed H20 sales but no regulation codified .
  • Blackwell/Hopper/networking mix: Blackwell to drive the lion’s share of Q3 growth; Hopper (H100/H200) still selling; networking benefits from NVLink systems .
  • Competitive landscape: Customers weigh ASICs, but NVIDIA’s full-stack, perf-per-watt, and ecosystem ubiquity underpin platform preference, accelerating ROI in AI factories .
  • Spectrum‑XGS opportunity: Introduces “scale-across” to unify distributed data centers; hyperscalers (e.g., CoreWeave) early adopters .
  • Roadmap cadence: Blackwell Ultra in 2H; Rubin next year with multiple new chips; annual rhythm to optimize perf-per-watt and customer margins .

Estimates Context

  • Q2 FY2026 beats: Revenue $46.743B vs $46.056B*, EPS $1.05 vs $1.009*, GAAP GM 72.4% vs 72.18%*; sequential momentum and networking strength drove upside while compute faced H20 drag .
  • Prior quarters: Q1 FY2026 revenue and EPS beat,* but GM missed consensus due to the $4.5B H20 charge (non-GAAP GM ex-charge 71.3%) ; Q2 FY2025 revenue/EPS beat,* GM slightly below consensus.*
  • Q3 FY2026 guide ($54B ±2%, non-GAAP GM 73.5% ±50bps) likely necessitates upward revisions to near-term revenue and margin models; OI&E guided higher to ~$500M .
    Values retrieved from S&P Global.*

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Strong beat with guided acceleration: Sequential revenue guidance implies >$7B q/q increase and margin uplift; core demand in Blackwell and networking remains robust .
  • China remains a swing factor: No H20 included in outlook; optionality for $2–$5B in Q3 if issues resolve; monitor license flow and any regulatory updates .
  • Networking is a structural growth driver: NVLink rack-scale, InfiniBand XDR, and Spectrum‑X/Spectrum‑XGS materially expand attach rates and AI cluster efficiency (effective ROI) .
  • Capital returns and balance sheet flexibility: Added $60B to repurchase authorization and returned $10B in Q2; ample liquidity ($56.8B) supports investment and shareholder returns .
  • Watch product cadence and yield trajectories: Blackwell Ultra ramp and Rubin timing underpin perf-per-watt gains and margin normalization to mid-70% exit rates .
  • Sovereign/enterprise AI expansion: Multi-region sovereign AI and on-prem enterprise AI (RTX PRO servers) broaden demand beyond hyperscalers .
  • Trading implications: Near-term catalyst is Q3 revenue/margin guide; sensitivity to geopolitical/news on H20; incremental positives from Spectrum‑XGS deployment announcements .

Appendix: Additional Q2 Details

  • Data Center revenue drivers: LLMs, recommendation engines, generative and agentic AI; large CSPs ~50% of Data Center revenue; Blackwell recognized across all customer categories .
  • Geography/invoicing: Singapore billed revenue was 22% in Q2 (centralized invoicing); >99% of DC compute billed to Singapore was for U.S.-based customers .
  • Operating cash flow dynamics: Sequential decrease mainly due to $8.1B in taxes paid; AR and inventory increased to support Blackwell Ultra ramp .
  • Net other income: $2.2B, primarily gains in a publicly-held equity security; interest income $592M .
  • Dividend: $0.01 per share payable Oct 2, 2025; record date Sept 11, 2025 .

Citations:
Core financials, segments, and guidance:
Prior quarters (trend analysis):
Earnings call commentary and Q&A:
Other relevant press releases: Spectrum‑XGS ; RealSense+Jetson Thor collaboration

Values retrieved from S&P Global.*