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NVIDIA CORP (NVDA)·Q2 2026 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- NVIDIA delivered Q2 FY2026 revenue of $46.7B (+6% q/q, +56% y/y) with GAAP gross margin 72.4% and non-GAAP EPS $1.05, beating S&P Global consensus on revenue, EPS, and gross margin; Blackwell Data Center revenue grew 17% q/q .
- Data Center revenue rose to $41.1B (+5% q/q, +56% y/y), with compute down 1% sequentially on a $4.0B H20 reduction, offset by networking +46% q/q to $7.3B (+98% y/y) on NVLink fabric, InfiniBand XDR, and Ethernet-for-AI adoption .
- Q3 FY2026 guidance implies a material sequential step-up: revenue $54.0B ±2%, non-GAAP GM 73.5% ±50bps, OpEx (non-GAAP) ~$4.2B, OI&E ~$500M, tax rate 16.5% ±1%; full-year OpEx growth outlook raised to high-30% from mid-30% .
- Strategic ramp of Blackwell Ultra is “at full speed,” while Rubin (next-gen) remains on schedule for next year; sovereign AI and enterprise AI pipelines are expanding, with $60B added to repurchase authorization and $10.0B returned to shareholders in Q2 .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
What Went Well
- Record-scale Blackwell ramp and demand: “Blackwell is the AI platform the world has been waiting for… demand is extraordinary” (Jensen Huang); Blackwell Data Center revenue grew 17% sequentially .
- Networking strength: revenue $7.3B (+46% q/q, +98% y/y) from NVLink compute fabric (GB200/GB300 systems), InfiniBand XDR, and Spectrum‑X Ethernet for AI workloads .
- Cash returns and balance sheet expansion: $10.0B returned (repurchases/dividends); cash, cash equivalents and marketable securities grew to $56.8B (+$3.1B q/q; +$22.0B y/y) .
What Went Wrong
- China exposure/H20 disruption: no H20 sales to China in Q2; compute revenue -1% q/q due to $4.0B H20 reduction; H20 shipments excluded from Q3 outlook .
- Gross margin y/y pressure: GAAP GM down ~270bps y/y as mix shifted toward full-scale data center systems versus Hopper HGX systems last year .
- Working capital/taxes weighed on cash flow: operating cash flow fell to $15.4B q/q (from $27.4B) “mainly driven by $8.1B in taxes paid” and higher inventory/AR to support Blackwell Ultra ramp .
Financial Results
P&L vs prior periods
Notes: Q2 included $180M release of previously reserved H20 inventory; excluding this, non-GAAP GM 72.3% and non-GAAP EPS $1.04 .
Actuals vs S&P Global Consensus
Beats/misses: Q2 FY2026 revenue, EPS, and GM were above consensus; Q1 FY2026 gross margin missed given the H20 charge .
Values retrieved from S&P Global.*
Segment Breakdown (Reportable Segments)
Market Platforms
KPIs and Balance Sheet/Cash Flow
Guidance Changes
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- “Blackwell is the AI platform the world has been waiting for… demand is extraordinary.” — Jensen Huang (CEO) .
- “GAAP and non-GAAP gross margins… include a $180M benefit from releasing previously reserved H20 inventory; excluding this benefit, non-GAAP gross margins would have been 72.3%.” — Colette Kress (CFO) .
- “We have not included H20 in our Q3 outlook… if geopolitical issues resolve, we should ship $2–$5B in H20 revenue in Q3.” — Colette Kress .
- On ASICs vs NVIDIA platform: “Our architecture is general, end-to-end, and everywhere… perf-per-watt directly translates to revenues in power-limited data centers.” — Jensen Huang .
- On Spectrum‑XGS: “Link data centers across cities, nations and continents into vast, giga-scale AI super-factories.” — Jensen Huang .
Q&A Highlights
- China/H20 outlook: Licenses have begun but shipments excluded from Q3; potential $2–$5B H20 revenue contingent on geopolitics; USG has discussed a 15% revenue expectation for licensed H20 sales but no regulation codified .
- Blackwell/Hopper/networking mix: Blackwell to drive the lion’s share of Q3 growth; Hopper (H100/H200) still selling; networking benefits from NVLink systems .
- Competitive landscape: Customers weigh ASICs, but NVIDIA’s full-stack, perf-per-watt, and ecosystem ubiquity underpin platform preference, accelerating ROI in AI factories .
- Spectrum‑XGS opportunity: Introduces “scale-across” to unify distributed data centers; hyperscalers (e.g., CoreWeave) early adopters .
- Roadmap cadence: Blackwell Ultra in 2H; Rubin next year with multiple new chips; annual rhythm to optimize perf-per-watt and customer margins .
Estimates Context
- Q2 FY2026 beats: Revenue $46.743B vs $46.056B*, EPS $1.05 vs $1.009*, GAAP GM 72.4% vs 72.18%*; sequential momentum and networking strength drove upside while compute faced H20 drag .
- Prior quarters: Q1 FY2026 revenue and EPS beat,* but GM missed consensus due to the $4.5B H20 charge (non-GAAP GM ex-charge 71.3%) ; Q2 FY2025 revenue/EPS beat,* GM slightly below consensus.*
- Q3 FY2026 guide ($54B ±2%, non-GAAP GM 73.5% ±50bps) likely necessitates upward revisions to near-term revenue and margin models; OI&E guided higher to ~$500M .
Values retrieved from S&P Global.*
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Strong beat with guided acceleration: Sequential revenue guidance implies >$7B q/q increase and margin uplift; core demand in Blackwell and networking remains robust .
- China remains a swing factor: No H20 included in outlook; optionality for $2–$5B in Q3 if issues resolve; monitor license flow and any regulatory updates .
- Networking is a structural growth driver: NVLink rack-scale, InfiniBand XDR, and Spectrum‑X/Spectrum‑XGS materially expand attach rates and AI cluster efficiency (effective ROI) .
- Capital returns and balance sheet flexibility: Added $60B to repurchase authorization and returned $10B in Q2; ample liquidity ($56.8B) supports investment and shareholder returns .
- Watch product cadence and yield trajectories: Blackwell Ultra ramp and Rubin timing underpin perf-per-watt gains and margin normalization to mid-70% exit rates .
- Sovereign/enterprise AI expansion: Multi-region sovereign AI and on-prem enterprise AI (RTX PRO servers) broaden demand beyond hyperscalers .
- Trading implications: Near-term catalyst is Q3 revenue/margin guide; sensitivity to geopolitical/news on H20; incremental positives from Spectrum‑XGS deployment announcements .
Appendix: Additional Q2 Details
- Data Center revenue drivers: LLMs, recommendation engines, generative and agentic AI; large CSPs ~50% of Data Center revenue; Blackwell recognized across all customer categories .
- Geography/invoicing: Singapore billed revenue was 22% in Q2 (centralized invoicing); >99% of DC compute billed to Singapore was for U.S.-based customers .
- Operating cash flow dynamics: Sequential decrease mainly due to $8.1B in taxes paid; AR and inventory increased to support Blackwell Ultra ramp .
- Net other income: $2.2B, primarily gains in a publicly-held equity security; interest income $592M .
- Dividend: $0.01 per share payable Oct 2, 2025; record date Sept 11, 2025 .
Citations:
Core financials, segments, and guidance:
Prior quarters (trend analysis):
Earnings call commentary and Q&A:
Other relevant press releases: Spectrum‑XGS ; RealSense+Jetson Thor collaboration
Values retrieved from S&P Global.*